Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.034704 1.171043 1.319632 1.493761 1.692441 1.912314 2.174433
2026-02-01 0.798809 0.978217 1.190569 1.461162 1.797841 2.204297 2.734234
2026-02-08 0.664468 0.858521 1.101522 1.429563 1.863013 2.419135 3.191555
2026-02-15 0.586796 0.791974 1.060998 1.441796 1.970585 2.684235 3.729361
2026-02-22 0.521590 0.730658 1.015776 1.436139 2.045470 2.904756 4.222759
2026-03-01 0.465557 0.673884 0.968021 1.417632 2.094749 3.087893 4.675928
2026-03-08 0.410385 0.611532 0.904420 1.366788 2.087362 3.182254 5.000056
2026-03-15 0.375615 0.575200 0.874367 1.361245 2.145040 3.376711 5.496414
2026-03-22 0.361152 0.567906 0.886692 1.421159 2.309368 3.752042 6.324603
2026-03-29 0.334269 0.538266 0.860871 1.416424 2.366591 3.956869 6.885780
2026-04-05 0.315515 0.519799 0.850836 1.435851 2.464653 4.237449 7.607113
2026-04-12 0.291840 0.490961 0.820936 1.418130 2.495695 4.403297 8.137036
2026-04-19 0.265926 0.458253 0.785291 1.393673 2.524593 4.590393 8.774358
2026-04-26 0.241127 0.425582 0.747395 1.362755 2.541329 4.763187 9.421434
2026-05-03 0.219672 0.396569 0.712783 1.333419 2.556356 4.932339 10.081439
2026-05-10 0.206329 0.380930 0.700671 1.344782 2.650589 5.265474 11.124700
2026-05-17 0.192225 0.362432 0.681276 1.339527 2.710336 5.535187 12.069163
2026-05-24 0.178136 0.342590 0.657321 1.322337 2.743001 5.751552 12.924868
2026-05-31 0.162093 0.317443 0.620641 1.275105 2.706471 5.815080 13.438565
2026-06-07 0.152114 0.303479 0.604903 1.269955 2.760115 6.081785 14.468918
2026-06-14 0.149042 0.303266 0.617013 1.325613 2.954940 6.689568 16.419902
2026-06-21 0.140469 0.290825 0.602529 1.321215 3.012090 6.985201 17.630964
2026-06-28 0.134578 0.283539 0.598274 1.339259 3.123576 7.423258 19.277561